THESIS
Publish a call with your own money on it, signed from your wallet, timestamped on chain. Followers back you with their own keys and their own caps. Every update is a trade. Callers are ranked by being right and by how their backers did, never by how loud they are.
Minimum skin $10. Carry 15% of a backer's win, only on wins. No follower counts anywhere.
Latest on the record
Bitcoin at or above $81,645 at Sep 22 03:00 UTC YES
I say 70%. The world hasn't priced it. Settles Sep 22.
Bitcoin has held above 81k for the whole session and the daily question is priced for a drift lower. I think the floor holds into the 03:00 print. If it loses 82k with volume, I'm wrong.
Settled: it happened. Caller made $0.00.
THESIS No. 0001 · unsigned
The board is blank.
The first call published here is the first call anyone can hold someone to.
Make it yoursBitcoin at or above $81,645 at Sep 22 03:00 UTC YES
I say 70%. The world hasn't priced it. Settles Sep 22.
Bitcoin has held above 81k for the whole session and the daily question is priced for a drift lower. I think the floor holds into the 03:00 print. If it loses 82k with volume, I'm wrong.
Settled: it happened. Caller made $0.00.
1
A thesis starts with your own order on your side, through an agent key that can never withdraw. No skin, no thesis.
2
Your wallet signs the question, the side, the number and a hash of the argument onto HyperEVM. Updates are signed the same way. Nothing is deleted.
3
Callers are ordered by SCORE and by their backers' rekt rate. The number of people following you appears nowhere on this site.